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    Home » Indonesia Holds Key Rate in Move That Puts Rupiah Back in Focus
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    Indonesia Holds Key Rate in Move That Puts Rupiah Back in Focus

    userBy userFebruary 19, 2025No Comments4 Mins Read
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    (Bloomberg) — Indonesia’s central bank kept the benchmark interest rate steady, pausing an easing cycle and setting aside concerns about economic growth to preempt any currency weakness from US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats.

    Most Read from Bloomberg

    The rupiah pared losses after Bank Indonesia kept the BI-Rate at 5.75% on Wednesday as predicted by 21 of 35 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. The rest expected a quarter-point cut.

    “Stability is the most important thing for our economy to continue growing,” Governor Perry Warjiyo said in his briefing in Jakarta. “That’s why we continue to be in the market and maintain the stability of the rupiah, especially when global turmoil is high.”

    The governor said he sees room for further rate cuts but the timing would depend on the global situation. He said the central bank is intervening in the foreign currency market “almost every day.”

    The hold follows a similar move by the Philippine central bank, which unexpectedly maintained its policy rate last week due to heightened global uncertainties. The pauses underline how central bankers across the world are having to juggle the need to protect their currencies from Trump’s trade policies while supporting economic growth and anchoring inflation at home.

    For policymakers in Southeast Asia’s largest economy, the balancing act is complicated by domestic capacity showing signs of plateauing while the currency remains under pressure. In the past couple of meetings, Bank Indonesia has alternated between prioritizing economic growth and rupiah stability.

    “After being seemingly comfortable enough with the rupiah to surprise markets with a rate cut in January, it is notable that BI is now emphasizing rupiah stability again in its decision to stay on hold today,” Barclays Plc economist Brian Tan said.

    To soften the blow of elevated borrowing costs, Bank Indonesia ramped up incentives for banks to lend to priority sectors, including public housing. Lenders will be able to lower their reserve requirement ratios by as much as 500 basis points starting April 1, up from a maximum of 400 basis points. That would cut their RRR by more than half from the 9% for conventional lenders and 7.5% for Shariah-compliant banks.

    The rate pause suggests that monetary authorities are still keeping one eye on currency stability, which is part of its mandate. It follows the government’s move to require many exporters to keep 100% of their overseas earnings onshore for 12 months to bolster foreign exchange reserves.

    “This decision is consistent with efforts to keep the 2025 and 2026 inflation forecasts under control within the target of 1.5-3.5%, stabilizing the rupiah in line with fundamentals amid still high global uncertainty, while helping support economic growth,” Warjiyo said.

    Last month, Warjiyo and his board unexpectedly resumed monetary easing to support consumption and bank lending amid concerns that Indonesia’s economic momentum was petering out.

    The rupiah has fallen 1.4% this year and is among the biggest losers in Asia, despite repeated central bank intervention. Foreign funds have sold off a net $556 million in equities this year, offsetting inflows in bonds.

    The nation’s benchmark stock index fell by 1.1% on Wednesday and ended three straight days of gains. It will likely face continued pressures amid expectations of slowing economic growth, said Rully Arya Wisnubroto of PT Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia.

    What Bloomberg Economics Says…

    The central bank is balancing the need to stabilize the rupiah and prevent capital outflows with its desire to support economic growth, making a pause likely at its next meeting in March

    —Tamara Henderson, Asean economist

    For the full note, click here

    Warjiyo had signaled in the January meeting that economic growth has taken precedence in BI’s decision-making, pledging to do more to support President Prabowo Subianto’s priority programs and 8% growth ambitions.

    Indonesia may have to lean on monetary policy to spur domestic activity this year as the government looks to reallocate nearly 10% of its budget to fund the president’s signature initiatives including free meals for students and expanded health care.

    –With assistance from Norman Harsono, Prima Wirayani, Ben Otto and Eko Listiyorini.

    (Updates with RRR incentives, stocks outlook)

    Most Read from Bloomberg Businessweek

    ©2025 Bloomberg L.P.



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